Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.652309 0.739645 0.832818 0.939443 1.057916 1.185335 1.332567
2025-08-24 0.532619 0.656739 0.798866 0.972923 1.179555 1.416210 1.706901
2025-08-31 0.431447 0.575642 0.752005 0.981809 1.271357 1.621923 2.076082
2025-09-07 0.362707 0.520832 0.726356 1.009673 1.386151 1.864829 2.514321
2025-09-14 0.298287 0.459788 0.682252 1.005613 1.457043 2.057311 2.906590
2025-09-21 0.254316 0.418775 0.657789 1.022386 1.554463 2.290664 3.371266
2025-09-28 0.211231 0.371205 0.616189 1.007680 1.603629 2.459643 3.759898
2025-10-05 0.189230 0.352337 0.613908 1.049181 1.736300 2.755261 4.348508
2025-10-12 0.170389 0.335228 0.611352 1.088579 1.867700 3.057412 4.967360
2025-10-19 0.149050 0.309992 0.591601 1.096897 1.949500 3.288993 5.494842
2025-10-26 0.130336 0.286192 0.570677 1.099835 2.021146 3.507956 6.015510
2025-11-02 0.114326 0.264696 0.550637 1.101173 2.088707 3.723244 6.542275
2025-11-09 0.100378 0.245170 0.532022 1.103542 2.159209 3.950238 7.106908
2025-11-16 0.089038 0.229092 0.517762 1.112052 2.240735 4.200751 7.726184
2025-11-23 0.077542 0.210511 0.495900 1.103259 2.289463 4.397804 8.267305
2025-11-30 0.070081 0.199824 0.488703 1.122109 2.390424 4.691636 8.990925
2025-12-07 0.061104 0.183696 0.467603 1.110137 2.430985 4.879769 9.540346
2025-12-14 0.055147 0.174016 0.459302 1.123637 2.521748 5.163922 10.275633
2025-12-21 0.047832 0.159206 0.437139 1.104669 2.545458 5.324686 10.796188
2025-12-28 0.045057 0.156411 0.442906 1.147709 2.698883 5.738460 11.802788
2026-01-04 0.042398 0.153427 0.447781 1.189069 2.851680 6.159474 12.844090
2026-01-11 0.038326 0.145352 0.438783 1.197249 2.934335 6.448549 13.650887
2026-01-18 0.034458 0.137052 0.428008 1.199911 3.004878 6.717256 14.431810